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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, October 2009, p. 6399-6401, Vol. 75, No. 19
0099-2240/09/$08.00+0     doi:10.1128/AEM.00651-09
Copyright © 2009, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.

Estimating Risk from Small Inocula by Using Population Growth Parameters{triangledown}

P. K. Malakar* and G. C. Barker

Institute of Food Research, Norwich Research Park, Colney, Norwich NR4 7UA, United Kingdom

Received 19 March 2009/ Accepted 23 July 2009

Risk from an uncertain small inoculum depends on variability of single-cell lag times. However, quantifying single-cell variability is technically challenging. It is possible to estimate this variability using population growth parameters. We demonstrate this possibility using data from literature and show a Bayesian scheme for performing this task.


* Corresponding author. Mailing address: Institute of Food Research, Norwich Research Park, Colney, Norwich NR4 7UA, United Kingdom. Phone: 44 1603 255141. Fax: 44 1603 507723. E-mail: pradeep.malakar{at}bbsrc.ac.uk

{triangledown} Published ahead of print on 31 July 2009.


Applied and Environmental Microbiology, October 2009, p. 6399-6401, Vol. 75, No. 19
0099-2240/09/$08.00+0     doi:10.1128/AEM.00651-09
Copyright © 2009, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.