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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, February 1999, p. 732-736, Vol. 65, No. 2
0099-2240/99/$04.00+0
Copyright © 1999, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
Estimating Bacterial Growth Parameters by Means of
Detection Times
József
Baranyi* and
Carmen
Pin
Institute of Food Research, Reading
Laboratory, Reading RG6 6BZ, United Kingdom
Received 8 June 1998/Accepted 15 October 1998
 |
ABSTRACT |
We developed a new numerical method to estimate bacterial growth
parameters by means of detection times generated by different initial
counts. The observed detection times are subjected to a transformation
involving the (unknown) maximum specific growth rate and the (known)
ratios between the different inoculum sizes and the constant detectable
level of counts. We present an analysis of variance (ANOVA) protocol
based on a theoretical result according to which, if the specific rate
used for the transformation is correct, the transformed values are
scattered around the same mean irrespective of the original inoculum
sizes. That mean, termed the physiological state of the inoculum,
, and the maximum specific growth rate, µ, can be estimated
by minimizing the variance ratio of the ANOVA procedure. The lag time
of the population can be calculated as
=
ln
/µ; i.e.
the lag is inversely proportional to the maximum specific growth rate
and depends on the initial physiological state of the population. The
more accurately the cell number at the detection level is known, the
better the estimate for the variance of the lag times of the individual cells.
 |
INTRODUCTION |
Automated measures are commonly used
to estimate bacterial growth parameters. Unfortunately, little
information is obtained on the lag phase because the change in the
physical properties of a culture (turbidity, conductance, etc.) is
detectable only at high cell concentrations. This problem is serious,
for example, in food microbiology, where predicting the end of the lag
phase is of great importance (5).
Microbiologists traditionally divide bacterial growth curves into lag,
exponential, and stationary phases. The maximum specific growth rate,
denoted by µ, can be estimated by the slope of the tangent drawn to
the inflexion of the sigmoid curve which is fitted to the data
representing the natural logarithm of the cell concentration against
time. (If log10 is used instead of the natural logarithm, the slope of that tangent is ln 10
2.3 times smaller than the real specific rate).
The period of lag,
, is usually interpreted as the time elapsed from
the inoculation to the intercept of the tangent with the level of
inoculum (6). Figure 1
demonstrates these definitions, concentrating on the lag and
exponential phases. The most popular functions suitable to fit
viable-count growth curves are listed, for example in reference
5. Generating viable-count data, however, is a
laborious task, and consequently there is a great interest in finding
alternative approaches to estimate bacterial growth parameters.

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FIG. 1.
The intercept of the inoculum level with the tangent
drawn to the exponential phase of the growth curve marks the end of the
lag phase. The detection time, Tdet, depends
linearly on the lag, , if the detection level is in the exponential
phase. The parameter µ can be used to define a hypothetical
inoculum level from which a growth curve, without lag, is able to catch
up with the real curve with lag.
|
|
The parameter
= exp (
µ
) was introduced in reference
2 to quantify the physiological state of the initial
population. As shown previously (3), the lag parameter of a
bacterial growth curve, also termed population lag, is not a simple
arithmetical average of the lag times of the individual
cells,
i (i = 1...x0, where x0 denotes the initial cell number). The
physiological state of the inoculum, however, is equal to the
arithmetical mean of the physiological states of the individual cells,
the
i = exp (
µ
i) quantities. We refer to this as
physiological-state theorem. This theorem is valid irrespective of the
actual distribution of the individual lag times. The proof of the
theorem relies upon a rather geometrical definition of population lag
based on the logarithmic representation of bacterial growth.
Consider this biological interpretation of the physiological state of
the inoculum. ln x0 is the natural logarithm of
the inoculum level, from where growth starts after the lag period,
.
Find another, hypothetical growth curve which will be identical to the
previous "real" growth curve in its exponential phase but has no
lag (Fig. 1). Denote the initial point of this hypothetical growth
curve ln x0(hyp). During the lag
period of the real growth curve, the hypothetical growth curve
increases, on the logarithmic scale, by µ
; hence,
= exp
(
µ
) is identical to the
= x0(hyp)/x0 factor.
In other words,
expresses the potential fraction of the initial
counts which, without lag, could "catch up" with the real growth
curve, which does have lag. The extreme values of this fraction are 0 and 1, corresponding to the situations that the real growth curve has
"infinitely long lag" and "no lag," respectively. The
physiological state is a dimensionless parameter quantifying the
"suitability" of the culture to the actual environment. It is, in
fact, an initial value, just like the inoculum level, from which the
lag parameter was derived in reference 3 by
=
ln
/µ, expressing the idea that the lag is inversely
proportional to the maximum specific growth rate and depends on the
physiological state of the inoculum as well as on the actual environment.
In this paper, we highlight a useful feature of the physiological-state
parameter. We develop a new method, based on the physiological-state theorem and an analysis of variance (ANOVA) procedure, to
estimate the maximum specific growth rate and the lag time of a
homogeneous bacterial population. The advantage of the method is that
it uses detection times, which are the first data available when
recording bacterial growth, and allows for the estimation of the
within-population variance of lag times.
 |
THEORY |
First we summarize the mathematical consequences of the
physiological-state theorem that we use for our ANOVA procedure.
Suppose that the initial culture consists of x0
cells. Let the individual lag times be denoted by
i (i = 1...x0), and
suppose that they are identically distributed, independently of each
other. It was demonstrated in reference 3 that if
the variance of the generation times is not much larger than that of
the individual lag times, the variance of the maximum specific growth
rate is negligible. Therefore, we consider µ to be constant in this study.
Let
i = exp (
µ
i)
(i = 1...x0) denote the individual
physiological states. If
(x0) denotes the
population lag, then
(x0) = exp
[
µ
(x0)] is the physiological state of
the inoculum consisting of x0 cells. According
to the physiological state theorem (see the proof in reference
3),
|
(1)
|
Therefore, as is known from mathematical statistics: (i) the
expected value of the physiological state of the initial population is
the same as the (common) expected value,
, of the individual physiological states: E[
(x0)] = E(
i) =
; (ii) with higher initial counts,
the physiological state of the initial population approaches
more closely; and (iii) denoting the (common) variance of the
individual physiological states by
, the rate of the above convergence can be estimated by the relation that the variance of the
physiological state of the initial population is
x0 times smaller than the variance of the
individual physiological states: Var[
(x0)]
= Var(
i)/x0 =
/x0.
ANOVA protocol.
We use the population state theorem to develop
an ANOVA procedure for our method. We use the indices i, j,
and k to differentiate between x0
cells of an inoculum (i = 1...x0),
between n detection times generated by
x0(j) initial cells (j = 1...n), and between m groups of identical inoculum levels (k = 1...m).
Suppose that a culture, growing from x0 initial
counts, reaches a certain detection level, Xdet,
at time Tdet, while still in the exponential
phase. As can be seen from Fig. 1,
|
(2)
|
From this equation, it follows that the detection time does not
depend on both Xdet and
x0 independently but only on the ratio
r = x0/Xdet, which we call the
dilution ratio. If the variance of the dilution ratio is negligible,
the distribution of the lag times, apart from a constant additive term,
is identical to the distribution of the detection times.
Suppose that we measure the T(j) detection times
for some subcultures generated by
x0(j) initial counts (j = 1,2,...n). Denote
(j) =
[x0(j)]. Then, from equation 2,
|
(3)
|
where
|
(4)
|
Besides, as we have seen,
|
(5)
|
where
is the common variance of the exp
(
µ
i) individual physiological states (see above).
For the expected value of the physiological state, an efficient
estimation is the weighted average of the
(j)
values, where the weights are proportional to the reciprocals of the
respective variances. By means of equation 5, after simplification, we
obtain
|
(6)
|
where
|
(7)
|
The variance of the
estimator is
|
(8)
|
Suppose that we dilute a culture from the detection level,
Xdet, and obtain n = n1
+...+ nm subcultures, where
nk subcultures belong to group
k, characterized by the r(k) = rk,1 =...=
r1,nk dilution
ratio (denote their detection times by
Tm,1 ,...,
Tm,nk) (k = 1...m).
Let
(k) be the mean of the
kth group of the physiological state observations, and let
|
(9)
|
Then, from equation 3,
|
(10)
|
According to equation 8, the variance of
(k) is
|
(11)
|
Define the V value as the variance ratio
|
(12)
|
Following the standard ANOVA technique,
As can be checked,
Therefore
|
(13)
|
Calculate the variances in the denominator of equation 12:
|
(14)
|
After substitution, we obtain:
|
(15)
|
The distribution of the V variance ratio, if completed
with the respective degrees of freedom, is very close to that of the F-distribution, except that the differences in the
summations are not normally distributed. Even so, assuming that the
F-statistics are sufficiently robust, the maximum specific
growth rate, µ, can be estimated by minimizing the V
variance ratio. The advantage of this is that V is
dimensionless and independent of the Xdet and
x0(j) values and depends only on the
dilution ratios and the detection times.
The procedure can be followed in an example given as an Excel sheet in
Tables 1 and 2, with m = 2 groups (see above).
 |
MATERIALS AND METHODS |
Bacterial strains and turbidity measurements.
We used
Pseudomonas putida NCFB 754 (from spoiled milk),
Pseudomonas fragi NCFB 2902 (from beef), and
Pseudomonas lundensis NCFB 2908 (from minced beef). Frozen
strains were grown in tryptone soy broth (TSB, Oxoid/Unipath) at 25°C
in three successive 24-h subcultures immediately prior to the
experiments. Equal volumes of the cultures were combined in the
inoculum. Dilutions were made in TSB to obtain appropriate cell concentrations.
The turbidity of the cultures was measured at 600 nm by Bioscreen
(Labsystems, Basingstoke, United Kingdom) in TSB. Microtiter plates
containing with 300 µl/well were incubated at 25°C. The initial
optical density (OD) was usually 0.11 to 0.12 (due to the media). The
Bioscreen was set to record the detection times needed to reach
ODdet = 0.15, equivalent to Xdet
107 cells/well. This estimate was checked by making a
series of dilutions from a culture grown in TSB at 25°C for 24 h. The ODs of the dilutions were monitored by the Bioscreen, while
bacterial counts were estimated by plating on tryptone soy agar
(Oxoid/Unipath).
A culture whose turbidity was equivalent to ODdet = 0.15 was used to produce a total of m = 7 groups of
subcultures with different inoculum levels. The groups k = 1...7 were characterized by
r1...r7 dilution ratios, where
r1 = 10
3 · 2
6
and rk = rk
1/2 (k = 2...7) because of consecutive binary dilutions. Note that the
exact value of Xdet belonging to
ODdet is not necessary for our method; it is enough to know that Xdet is reached in the exponential phase.
The data were collected in a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet, and the
Solver add-in of the software was used to minimize the calculated V variance ratio with respect to the maximum specific growth
rate, µ. Sample data and program are given in Tables
1 and 2,
respectively.
 |
RESULTS |
The observed detection times belonging to seven groups of
initial counts (k = 1...7) are shown in Fig.
2. The groups are characterized by the
r1 = 10
3 · 2
6
... r7 = 10
3 · 2
12 dilution ratios. Using the
Xdet = 107 cells/well detection
level, corresponding to a turbidity equivalent to ODdet = 0.15, the initial counts in the wells of the lowest inoculum level were
around x0 = r7Xdet = 10
3 · 2
12Xdet = 2.44 cells/well. As mentioned above, however, the actual values of
x0 or Xdet were not used
to estimate the maximum specific growth rate or the population lag.

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FIG. 2.
Detection times from different inoculum levels obtained
by a series of binary dilutions. The lower the inoculum level, the
larger is the scatter of the detection times. x, measured detection
times; ---, detection time predictions obtained by the
new method.
|
|
The ANOVA procedure described above estimated µ = 1.07 h
1 for the maximum specific growth rate of the
pseudomonads at 25°C. From µ, the mean physiological state of the
inoculum was estimated as
= 0.27 (the grand mean is shown in
Fig. 3). The population lag was
calculated as
=
ln
/µ = 1.21 (h).

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FIG. 3.
Physiological-state values, obtained by transforming the
detection times by means of the respective dilution ratios and the
estimated specific growth rate. x, physiological-state data; , group
mean of the physiological-state data generated by the same inoculum
level; ---, grand mean, , the estimate for
the mean physiological state of the initial population; ···, the
expected theoretical deviation from the grand mean, calculated with
Xdet = 107 detection level and
assuming an exponential distribution for the individual lag times.
|
|
To demonstrate, how robust the technique is, Fig.
4 shows the scatter and trend of the
physiological-state values at two specific growth rates which were
obtained by perturbing the calculated µ value. If the specific rate
is chosen about 10% lower or higher, the (group means of the)
physiological states show an obvious downward or upward tendency,
accordingly.

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FIG. 4.
Demonstration of the robustness of the method. If the
maximum specific growth rates are slightly perturbed (µ = 0.95 h 1 [A] or µ = 1.2 h 1 [B] instead of
the correct µ = 1.07 h 1), the physiological-state
values show a strong downward and upward tendency, respectively. For
explanations of symbols, see the legend to Fig. 3.
|
|
 |
DISCUSSION |
Detection times, i.e. the times,
Tdet(j), taken to reach a
detectable population size, Xdet, from different
x0(j) initial levels, have been used
by other authors to estimate bacterial growth parameters (see for
example, reference 4). Unfortunately, the variance
of the observed detection times increases as the inoculum size
decreases. We overcome this problem by applying the physiological-state
theorem of reference 3. An important consequence of
this theorem is that the variance of the
= exp (
µTdet)/r value is inversely
proportional to the r = x0/Xdet dilution ratio. This relationship was used to develop an ANOVA procedure.
To apply our method, the detection level should be in the exponential
phase. If, for example, Xdet is close to the
stationary phase, the method underestimates the real specific rate.
Another source of error is the possible error in the r
dilution ratio.
The physiological-state theorem is valid irrespective of the
distribution of the lag times,
i, of the
individual cells. An important case, however, when these are
exponentially distributed, deserves special attention. In that case, as
shown in reference 3, the mean individual lag time
is
|
|
with the same
variance, while the variance of the individual
physiological states is
|
|
Note that the mean individual lag time is larger than the
population lag.
Applying the above formulae to our numerical results, the average of
the lag times of the individual cells was 2.5 h, with v = 0.084 variance (ca. 0.29 h standard deviation). By using
v and the estimated Xdet = 107 detection level, the standard deviations of the
(k) group means can be calculated
(assuming an exponential distribution for the individual lag times)
from equation 11. These estimated standard deviations are represented
by the differences between the dotted lines and the grand mean of the
values in Fig. 3. The fact that they are close to the standard
deviations of the groups (which can be calculated simply from the raw
data, irrespective of the exponential assumption) suggests that the
distribution of the lag times of the individual cells is, indeed, close
to exponential.
An important point in the applicability of the method is that, as
follows from the assumptions of the physiological state theorem, the
total number of cells in a homogeneous living space should be
considered for the inoculum, as well as for the detection level
(cells/well), and not just the density of the inoculum. Therefore, a
population of, say, 1 cell/ml in a 1-liter volume (1,000 cells
altogether) should produce the same lag as a 103-cell/ml
concentration in a 1-ml volume. This relationship does not hold in
practice because the cells do not grow independently but exchange
chemical signals (1) whose effectiveness is dependent on the
actual size of the living space. It is beyond the scope of this paper
to take this complication into account.
As noted by Renshaw (7), stochastic approaches should be
used to study the dynamics of bacterial growth at low population levels, an area of great interest in, for example, food microbiology. The distribution of the detection times of cultures with small initial
numbers has not been previously examined in detail and has the
potential to be used in the development of stochastic approaches.
 |
ACKNOWLEDGMENT |
J.B. thanks the U.K. Ministry of Agriculture Fisheries and Food
for support under project FS 3202.
 |
FOOTNOTES |
*
Corresponding author. Mailing address: Institute of
Food Research Reading Laboratory, Earley Gate, Whiteknights Rd.,
Reading RG6 6BZ, United Kingdom. Phone: (44)118 9357000. Fax: (44)118 9357222. E-mail: jozsef.baranyi{at}bbsrc.ac.uk.
Permanent address: Departamento de Nutricion y Bromatologia III,
Facultad de Veterinaria, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain.
 |
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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, February 1999, p. 732-736, Vol. 65, No. 2
0099-2240/99/$04.00+0
Copyright © 1999, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
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