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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, September 2000, p. 3698-3704, Vol. 66, No. 9
0099-2240/00/$04.00+0
Copyright © 2000, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
Classification of Antibiotic Resistance Patterns of Indicator
Bacteria by Discriminant Analysis: Use in Predicting the Source of
Fecal Contamination in Subtropical Waters
Valerie J.
Harwood,*
John
Whitlock, and
Victoria
Withington
Department of Biology, University of South
Florida, Tampa, Florida 33620
Received 2 February 2000/Accepted 8 June 2000
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ABSTRACT |
The antibiotic resistance patterns of fecal streptococci and fecal
coliforms isolated from domestic wastewater and animal feces were
determined using a battery of antibiotics (amoxicillin, ampicillin,
cephalothin, chlortetracycline, oxytetracycline, tetracycline, erythromycin, streptomycin, and vancomycin) at four concentrations each. The sources of animal feces included wild birds, cattle, chickens, dogs, pigs, and raccoons. Antibiotic resistance patterns of
fecal streptococci and fecal coliforms from known sources were grouped
into two separate databases, and discriminant analysis of these
patterns was used to establish the relationship between the antibiotic
resistance patterns and the bacterial source. The fecal streptococcus
and fecal coliform databases classified isolates from known sources
with similar accuracies. The average rate of correct classification for
the fecal streptococcus database was 62.3%, and that for the fecal
coliform database was 63.9%. The sources of fecal streptococci and
fecal coliforms isolated from surface waters were identified by
discriminant analysis of their antibiotic resistance patterns. Both
databases identified the source of indicator bacteria isolated from
surface waters directly impacted by septic tank discharges as human. At
sample sites selected for relatively low anthropogenic impact, the
dominant sources of indicator bacteria were identified as various
animals. The antibiotic resistance analysis technique promises to be a
useful tool in assessing sources of fecal contamination in subtropical waters, such as those in Florida.
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INTRODUCTION |
Fecal coliform bacteria are the most
commonly used indicators of fecal pollution in water and food. They
inhabit the gastrointestinal tracts of all warm-blooded and some
cold-blooded animals (1, 8) and therefore provide no
information about the specific source of fecal contamination. This
information is important because (i) fecal material from sources such
as humans and cattle can be regarded as "high risk" due to the
possible presence of human pathogens and (ii) identification of the
fecal source is necessary if management plans for prevention of further
contamination are to be developed. For these reasons, an indicator that
is source discriminant would be useful to investigators and regulators
of water quality.
A second group of bacteria, the fecal streptococci, has been proposed
for use as a water quality indicator (1). Fecal streptococci are gram-positive, catalase-negative cocci that cleave esculin and are
not inhibited by bile salts. They are classified as group D
streptococci by antiserum reactivity. The enterococci, which were
formerly classified as fecal streptococci, came to be recognized as a
useful water quality indicator (1) and are now classified in
the genus Enterococcus (16). They can be
differentiated from the larger fecal streptococcus group by their
ability to grow at 10 and 45°C, at pH 9.6, and in medium with 6.5%
NaCl (9).
Findings from several studies have suggested that the enterococci may
be better indicator organisms than fecal coliforms. Enterococcus spp. may survive longer in marine environments
than fecal coliforms (3), and their survival rate through
wastewater treatment processes is higher than that of fecal coliforms
(18). Their numbers in marine and fresh recreational waters
correlate with the risk of human pathogens and disease (3, 4,
12), while those of fecal coliforms do not. Like fecal coliforms,
enterococci are found in the feces of all warm-blooded animals and
therefore share the drawback of nonspecificity with the fecal coliforms.
Resistance to multiple classes of antibiotics is not uncommon in
enterococci and fecal coliforms isolated from animals and humans. The
selective pressure imposed on the commensal gastrointestinal flora of
animals and humans by antibiotic use results in patterns of antibiotic
resistance that reflect to some extent the microflora's exposure to
antibiotics. It has been proposed that antibiotic resistance patterns
(ARPs) of Escherichia coli (13, 19) and fecal
streptococci (7, 23, 24) can be used as phenotypic "fingerprints" to determine the source of fecal pollution in
natural waters or food.
Discriminant analysis is a multivariate statistical technique that can
be used to classify subjects in categories based on a series of test
variables (10, 22). The correct classification rate for
isolates from each known source can be used to evaluate the predictive
capabilities of databases used for discriminant analysis. The rate of
correct classification is calculated by self-crossing the database and
is the percentage of isolates from a source that are actually
classified by discriminant analysis in the correct source category. As
a form of data reduction, discriminant analysis relies on the
computation of "derived variables" from n isolates and
p variables of k groupings (sources) to
distinctly separate the sources (6).
The work presented here describes the application of antibiotic
resistance analysis (ARA) (24) using discriminant analysis as a tool to differentiate between animal and human fecal isolates in
subtropical surface waters of Florida. The ARPs of fecal streptococci and fecal coliforms from known animal sources and from human-dominated sources (domestic wastewater) were determined in order to create separate databases (fecal streptococcus and fecal coliform) to which
ARPs of isolates from surface waters could be compared and categorized
by probable source. The ability of the fecal streptococcus and fecal
coliform databases to identify a dominant source of contamination in
surface waters was assessed by sampling at sites impacted by septic
tank effluent, which were contrasted with sites receiving relatively
slight anthropogenic impacts.
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MATERIALS AND METHODS |
Sample collection.
All fecal and wastewater samples were
collected in Florida. During each sampling event, feces from multiple
animals of the same source category were collected and combined into a
single sample. Each farm site was sampled on two to four separate
occasions. Wastewater samples (designated "human") were obtained
from sources where the majority of isolates would be of human origin,
i.e., influent from wastewater treatment plants that receive input
primarily from residential sources (Jacksonville) and from wastewater
lift stations in residential neighborhoods (Tampa). Chicken and cattle (dairy and beef) feces were each collected from at least five different
farms within a 30-mile radius of Jacksonville. Chicken feces were
collected inside poultry barns. Cattle feces were obtained from fields
(beef), in which case multiple fresh, widely dispersed piles were
sampled, or from central solid-waste collection points in dairy barns.
Pig feces were obtained from an auction site in Lake City, Florida,
that receives animals from Florida and Georgia. Dog fecal samples were
obtained from healthy animals (not undergoing antibiotic therapy) at
the Jacksonville and Clearwater Florida Humane Societies.
Because wild-animal feces were more difficult to obtain than those of
domestic animals, the number of isolates in each wild-animal category
was small, ranging from 83 fecal coliform isolates from rabbits to 274 fecal coliform isolates from birds. There were 125 fecal streptococcus
isolates from birds and 212 fecal streptococcus isolates from raccoons.
The numbers of isolates from individual wild sources were low compared
to those in the domestic-animal and human categories; therefore,
isolates from various wild-animal sources were grouped together for
some analyses to form a "wild" category, which consisted of fecal
coliform isolates from birds, raccoons, rabbits, and ducks and fecal
streptococcus isolates from birds and raccoons. Bird feces were
obtained from several natural rookeries located on the University of
North Florida campus and at Matanzas inlet (south of St. Augustine,
Florida) and containing a mix of wood storks, night herons, and egrets.
Raccoon feces were obtained from trapped animals, from a State Park
campground, and from a congregation site near a restaurant dumpster.
Rabbit and duck feces were collected from piles on the ground.
Sample processing and isolation of indicator bacteria.
The
samples were transported to the laboratory on ice and were processed
within 8 h of collection. One gram of fecal material or 1 ml of
wastewater was placed into 100 ml of 0.5% saline buffer, pH 7.0. The
samples were further diluted, depending on the source of the sample.
Dilutions were filtered with a 0.45-µm-pore-size membrane filter.
Fecal coliforms were incubated at 44.5°C in mFC broth (Difco) for 18 to 24 h. Individual blue colonies from membrane filters containing
30 to 70 colonies were transferred with sterile toothpicks into the
wells of a 96-well microtiter plate containing 0.2 ml of EC broth
(Difco)/well. Microtiter plates were incubated at 37°C for 18 to
24 h. Fecal streptococci were incubated at 37°C in
Enterococcosel broth (BBL) for 24 h. Individual colonies were transferred with sterile toothpicks to microtiter plate wells containing Enterococcosel broth. The microtiter plates were incubated at 37°C for 24 h. The ARPs of isolates in wells that turned dark brown, indicating esculin hydrolysis, were included in the database.
Vancomycin-resistant fecal streptococcus isolates were subjected to
further biochemical testing in order to determine their
placement in
the genus
Enterococcus. Those isolates that were
catalase
negative, grew in brain heart infusion broth at 44.5°C
and in brain
heart infusion broth with 6.5% NaCl at 37°C, and
were esculin
positive on bile esculin agar were tentatively identified
as
Enterococcus spp. (
1). Membership in the genus
Enterococcus was further confirmed by positive pyrrolidonyl
arylamidase and
leucine arylamidase tests (
5).
Determination of ARP.
The ARP of each fecal streptococcus
isolate comprised 36 observations (nine antibiotics at four
concentrations each). Vancomycin resistance is an intrinsic
characteristic of the fecal coliforms (2); therefore, their
ARPs comprised 32 observations. A 48-prong replicator (Sigma) was used
to transfer isolates onto 100-mm-diameter tryptic soy agar plates
amended with the following concentrations of antibiotics: ampicillin,
10, 15, 30, and 50 µg/ml; amoxicillin, 5, 10, 15, and 20 µg/ml;
cephalothin, 10, 15, 20, and 25 µg/ml; chlortetracycline, oxytetracycline, and streptomycin,
20, 40, 60, and 80 µg/ml; tetracycline and erythromycin, 10, 15, 30, and 50 µg/ml; and vancomycin, 5, 10, 15, and 30 µg/ml (fecal
streptococci only). The ARPs of isolates that failed to grow on the
last tryptic soy agar plate were discarded. The plates were incubated
at 37°C for 18 to 20 h. The colonies were recorded as positive
if there was growth or negative if there was no growth. Antibiotic
concentrations were chosen to coincide with those used by B. A. Wiggins at James Madison University so that the data could eventually
be compared (23).
Statistical analysis of isolates from known sources.
Discriminant analysis was performed essentially as described by Wiggins
(23). The pattern of each isolate was entered into a
spreadsheet (Excel). Discriminant analysis using SAS software (version
6.12 for Windows; SAS Institute, Inc.) was used to classify the
isolates by source. The table generated by the DISCRIM procedure displays the number and percent of isolates from each known source that
are classified in each source category. The correct classification rates were calculated by using one set of ARPs both to establish the
classification rule and as test subjects (10). The number of
isolates from a given source that are placed in the correct source
category by discriminant analysis is termed the rate of correct
classification. The average rate of correct classification (ARCC) for
the database is obtained by averaging the correct classification percentages for all sources (23). The holdout method of
cross validation, in which isolates from known sources are randomly removed from the data set and treated as test subjects, was used as a
more rigorous test of the predictive power of the databases (10). For the holdout analysis, approximately 25% of
isolates from each source were used as subjects, i.e., of 1,420 fecal
coliform isolates from cattle, 355 were held out for the cross validation.
The statistical significance of the discriminant analysis results was
validated by an
F statistic given by the equation (p.
339 of
reference
6)
F = [
n1n2(
n1 +
n2
p 
1)/(
n1 +
n2(
n1 +
n2 
2)
p]
D2, where
n is the number of isolates
in each group or source (
k),
p is the number of
response variables, and
D2 is the distance
squared between the two groups being compared.
An
F value
was computed for each possible pairing of groups and
compared to the
critical value of the
F distribution using df1
=
p and df2 =
n1 +
n2
p 
1 (
6).
Comparisons of correct classification rates between the fecal
streptococcus and the fecal coliform databases were assessed
by
likelihood ratio tests. To determine whether the databases
were
adversely affected by sample inequality, Spearman's ranked
correlation
was used to compare the rates of correct classification
of isolates
from each source to factors such as their respective
source sample
sizes and number of sampling events. The chi-square
test was used to
determine significant differences in the percentages
of
antibiotic-resistant isolates obtained from different sources
and to
compare correct classification rates between
databases.
Analysis of isolates from surface waters.
Natural water
samples were collected approximately 0.5 m below the surface in
sterile bottles. The samples were transported to the laboratory on ice
and were processed within 8 h of collection. Appropriate sample
volumes were filtered. Generally, the ARPs of 48 to 96 isolates per
site were analyzed, but occasionally fewer isolates were obtained from
samples. Discriminant analysis was used to assign each isolate to a
source category based on the comparison of its ARP to those of isolates
from known sources.
 |
RESULTS |
Antibiotic resistance in bacterial isolates from animals and
wastewater.
Fecal streptococci and fecal coliforms displayed
distinctive ARPs depending on their sources, i.e., animal feces or
wastewater dominated by human waste sources (human). For example, a
significantly greater percentage (P < 0.01) of fecal
coliform isolates from human sources than of their counterparts from
cattle feces were resistant to ampicillin (Fig. 1). A
significantly higher percentage (P < 0.01) of fecal
coliform isolates from cattle than of fecal coliforms from human
sources were resistant to chlortetracycline (Fig. 1).
Fecal coliform isolates from human sources were more frequently
resistant to ampicillin, amoxicillin, and cephalothin than were animal
isolates (data not shown) (P < 0.01). Fecal coliform isolates from animal feces were more likely to be resistant to tetracycline and its derivatives (oxytetracycline and
chlortetracycline), erythromycin, and
streptomycin than isolates from human sources (P < 0.01).

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FIG. 1.
Comparison of percentages of ampicillin-resistant (AMP)
and chlortetracycline-resistant (CTC) fecal coliform
isolates from human (Wastewater) and cattle (Cow) sources. The
concentrations (conc) of ampicillin were as follows: conc1, 10 µg/ml;
conc2, 15 µg/ml; conc3, 30 µg/ml; and conc4, 50 µg/ml. The
concentrations of chlortetracycline were as follows:
conc1, 20 µg/ml; conc2, 40 µg/ml; conc3, 60 µg/ml; and conc4, 80 µg/ml.
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Antibiotic resistance in fecal streptococcus isolates followed a
similar pattern, except that erythromycin resistance was
more prevalent
in isolates from humans than in animal isolates
(
P < 0.01), and there was no significant difference in the percentage
of cephalothin-resistant isolates. Vancomycin-resistant
(Van
r) fecal streptococci were more prevalent in animal
feces than
in wastewater (
P < 0.01). Further
biochemical characterization
of the Van
r isolates was
conducted in order to determine the genus, as
Enterococcus spp. which possess the transferable genetic elements for high-level
vancomycin resistance are extremely rare or nonexistent in animal
populations in the United States (
17). All of the isolates
from
animal feces proved to be members of intrinsically resistant
genera,
such as
Pediococcus or
Leuconostoc, or
members of the genus
Enterococcus,
which frequently display
low-level, intrinsic resistance to vancomycin
(
5), while
greater than 80% of the wastewater isolates were
confirmed as
Enterococcus.
Discriminant analysis: testing the classification accuracy of
ARPs.
The ARPs of fecal isolates obtained from known sources were
used to create two separate databases, one composed of fecal
streptococcus patterns and one composed of fecal coliform patterns. The
first step in assessing the classification accuracy of the databases was to determine the rate of correct classification of isolates from
known sources. The analysis can be set up so that source animals are
treated as separate categories, i.e., dog, horse, and cow, or their
ARPs can be pooled in one category, "animals," while human isolates
are included in a second category.
When nonhuman sources were pooled so that each isolate was classified
as animal or human, the correct classification rate
for human fecal
streptococcus isolates was 75.5%, while that for
animal fecal
streptococcus isolates was 72.4% (Table
1). It is
important to note that when animal sources are pooled for discriminant
analysis, different equations are generated than when each animal
source is maintained as a separate category. In the case of a
source,
such as human, that remains constant over the different
data
treatments, the number of correctly classified isolates for
that source
will not be the same from one scheme of source grouping
to the next
(compare Table
1 and Table
2). Similarly, the number
of
animals correctly classified in each separate category (dog,
cow, or
"wild") cannot simply be added to determine the number
correctly
classified in the pooled analysis.
When each animal source of fecal streptococci was analyzed as a
separate category, the correct classification rate for human
isolates
was 60.5% (Table
2) and the ARCC for the six source
categories was
62.3%. The probability of an isolate falling into
one of six
categories by chance alone is 16.7%; therefore, the
database
categorized isolates much more accurately than would
be predicted if
classification were a random
process.
Fecal coliform isolates from humans were correctly classified at a rate
of 69.3%, and pooled animal isolates were correctly
classified at a
rate of 78.4% (Table
1). When fecal coliforms
from animal sources were
analyzed as separate source categories
(Table
3), human
isolates were correctly classified at a rate
of 54.2%, with an ARCC of
63.9%.
To further test the predictive accuracy of the fecal streptococcus and
fecal coliform databases, a holdout cross validation
was performed for
each source, in which isolates were randomly
removed from the database
and subsequently analyzed. The rates
of correct classification for
hold-out isolates were not significantly
different from those for all
isolates in any source category,
indicating that the databases are
capable of identifying the sources
of isolates whose ARPs are not part
of the
database.
The ability of the data (ARPs) in each category to discriminate between
ARPs in all other categories was validated by the
F
statistic for both databases, as all
F values exceeded the
critical
value for F
(df1,df2,0.05)(
P < 0.001) (
6). The fecal coliform
database had a
significantly greater ARCC than the fecal streptococcus
database
(
2 = 43.1; df = 1;
P < 0.001). This result varied for some sources,
i.e., fecal coliform
isolates from cattle were classified correctly
at a higher rate than
those of fecal streptococci (
2 = 15.04; df = 1;
P < 0.001). Conversely, fecal streptococcus
isolates from humans were correctly classified at a higher rate
than
those from fecal coliform isolates (
2 = 18.53;
df = 1;
P < 0.001).
Spearman's ranked correlation using the percentage of correctly
classified isolates versus the corresponding number of sampling
events
resulted in a significant negative correlation
(
rs =

0.8125;
P < 0.05) between
sampling events and the percentage of correctly
classified isolates for
the fecal coliform database but not for
the fecal streptococcus
database (
rs =

0.6071;
P > 0.05).
The
databases exhibited a significant negative correlation between
the
percentage of correctly classified isolates and the number
of isolates
per source category (
rs =

0.7143 and
rs =

0.8929
for the fecal coliform and
fecal streptococcus databases, respectively;
P < 0.05
for
both).
Field tests of the predictive capabilities of the databases.
Surface waters receiving effluent from malfunctioning onsite wastewater
treatment and disposal systems (OSTDS) were sampled in order to
evaluate the predictive use of the databases in a field setting. In
July 1999, effluent from a defective OSTDS at a restaurant was sampled
at the curb of the parking lot and at the adjacent water-filled ditch.
Standing water in a pasture downslope and approximately 30 m from
the drainfield mound was also sampled. No animals were in the pasture,
and no animal feces were evident within several hundred meters of the
water. Both the fecal coliform and the fecal streptococcus databases
identified the source of the majority of the isolates as human (Table
4) in all samples.
Six weeks after the system had been repaired, the area was sampled
again. At that time there was no visible effluent at the
curb or
standing water in the pasture, and cattle occupied the
pasture. Feces
from several cow stools, water in the ditch, and
water in a storm drain
across the street were sampled. The sources
of most of the fecal
streptococcus and fecal coliform isolates
were identified as nonhuman
(Table
5). The predicted dominant
sources of fecal
streptococci in the water samples were bird,
chicken, cow, and dog. The
dominant sources of fecal coliform
isolates in the water samples were
identified as cow and raccoon.
The levels of human isolates identified
by both databases had
fallen below the level that would be expected by
chance classification
(14.3%) after the OSTDS was repaired.
Greater than 75% of fecal streptococcus and fecal coliform isolates
from cow feces collected in the pasture were placed in
the correct
source category by discriminant analysis (Table
5).
The values shown in
Table
5 were calculated before the cow isolates
from that site were
added to the database; therefore, the analysis
can be considered a
cross validation. When the ARPs of the fecal
streptococci from cattle
were added to the database but were treated
as a separate category
("BCow"), 97.7% of the isolates were classified
as BCow,
demonstrating the tight clustering of ARPs of bacterial
isolates from a
discrete source. When the BCow ARPs were added
to the cow source
category in the database, 84.1% of all cow isolates
were correctly
classified as cow compared to 79.6% for the original
(cross-validation)
analysis.
A similar experiment was conducted at a sports bar with a failing
OSTDS. In this case, the effluent had been discharging from
the
drainfield within 48 h of sampling; however, no drainage was
evident at the time of sampling. A pool of standing water and
a creek
approximately 30 m from the mound were sampled. The sources
of 20 of 24 fecal streptococcus isolates (83.3%) and 41 of 48
fecal coliform
isolates (85.4%) from the standing water were identified
as human.
Inputs to the creek were more varied, as would be expected
for a
flowing body of water. The dominant sources of fecal streptococcus
isolates were cow (33.3%) and human (38.9%). The major sources
of
fecal coliform isolates in the creek were chicken (32.4%) and
human
(62.2%).
Samples were also collected at relatively nonimpacted sites: at an
abandoned sand quarry and at an isolated creek at Anastasia
State Park
in Florida and at the mouth of the Matanzas River located
in the
Guana-Tolomato-Matanzas (GTM) National Estuarine Research
Reserve. The
GTM sites are interconnected canals which receive
tidal flushing. At
the time of sampling, a large bird rookery
was populated by wood
storks, egrets, and night herons. A single-family
dwelling with an
OSTDS is located approximately 100 m from the
shore. The dominant
sources of fecal coliform isolates in each
of these relatively
nonimpacted sites were identified as nonhuman
(Table
6).
In total, 151 of 197 isolates (76.6%) at the relatively
nonimpacted
sites were identified as wild-animal isolates.
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TABLE 6.
Identification of fecal coliform source from samples
collected in Anastasia State Park (ASP) and Matanzas Inlet (GTM)
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DISCUSSION |
The ARPs of the commensal fecal flora of mammals and birds are
influenced by many factors, including the presence of intrinsically antibiotic-resistant bacteria and the fact that the antibiotics ingested by the host animal select for the survival and growth of
drug-resistant strains. Most classes of antibiotics are approved for
both human and animal use, and this practice almost certainly contributes to shared patterns of antibiotic resistance in the fecal
flora of certain animals and humans. Although there are demonstrable
differences in the prevalences of antibiotic resistance among isolates
from different host species, there are enough similarities so that
previous efforts (11, 13) to identify the source of indicator bacteria by antibiotic resistance characteristics were not
very useful in the field. The use of several concentrations of each
antibiotic rather than one concentration to establish the ARP coupled
with statistical treatment of the data by discriminant analysis
provides the predictive power necessary to provide useful information
about the sources of isolates from surface waters (23).
The comparison of ARA results using fecal streptococcus and fecal
coliform ARPs revealed that the accuracies of the two databases were
similar, as demonstrated by their correct classification rates for
human isolates and their ARCCs. The slightly superior correct
classification rates for human isolates by the fecal streptococcus database may be due to the number of antibiotics used for the analyses.
Fecal streptococcus ARPs were established using nine antibiotics, while
only eight antibiotics were used for fecal coliforms because
gram-negative bacteria are not susceptible to vancomycin
(2). The highest correct classification rates in previous
studies were obtained by using a subset of the antibiotics tested for
analysis (7, 23). In this study, however, omission of any of
the antibiotic resistance data resulted in lower correct classification
rates for both databases.
Regardless of how well constructed a database is, in the event of
polytomous categorization of isolates from unknown sources (about the
same number of isolates assigned to each category), it may be difficult
to determine the dominant source of contamination. The prediction of a
small percentage of isolates from a particular source may also be
difficult to interpret, as in the example of the repaired septic system
(Table 5), where 10 of 96 (10.4%) fecal coliform isolates from the
ditch and storm drain were placed in the human category. It will
generally be unclear whether such assignments are a result of
misclassification or truly represent a small proportion of isolates
from that source. We suggest that an expected frequency of
misclassification for each source will be helpful in clarifying the
significance of similar results. For example, in the human category in
the fecal coliform database, the rate of correct classification was
54.2%. However, the frequency at which all other isolates were
classified in the human category was 9.4% (580 of 6,144). Therefore,
in a sample containing fecal coliforms from many sources but none from
humans, one could expect this fecal coliform database to classify about
9.4% of the isolates as human. By using the expected frequency of
misclassification as a standard, it is clear that the 10 predicted
human isolates from the ditch and storm drain at the repaired OSTDS
could all be the result of misclassification of isolates from other sources.
The correct classification rates of isolates from known sources
obtained in this study (Florida) are lower than those for Wiggins'
original Virginia study (23). However, that database was
composed of bacteria isolated from sources within a limited geographical area, and the sample sizes were relatively small (134 to
285 isolates per source). As Spearman's ranked correlation test
demonstrated in this study, smaller sample sizes and fewer sampling
sites per source result in higher correct classification rates, a
result of the relative homogeneity of the ARPs of isolates from
individual animal populations. A second study by Wiggins et al. in
which samples were less homogeneous (more sampling sites) and sample
sizes were larger resulted in correct classification rates comparable
to those shown here (24).
A study of fecal streptococcus ARPs by Hagedorn et al. in Montgomery
County, Va., resulted in higher correct classification rates than those
obtained in Florida (7). The sources of isolates designated
human in the two studies probably contributed to the differences in
correct classification rates. In the Florida study, human isolates were
obtained from domestic wastewater, which provides a cross-section of
human ARPs and thus high variability in ARPs. In the Montgomery County
study, human isolates were from OSTDS at individual homes, providing
lower variability and a sample that is not likely to be representative
of a large human population. This type of sample yields higher correct
classification rates precisely because ARP variability is lower.
The sampling constraint applies to animal sources as well. While ARPs
tend to form a tight cluster within one population, patterns of
isolates from different populations of a given source are more
heterogeneous (e.g., the BCow example in this study). Cattle
feces for the Florida study were obtained from seven different farms
over a three-county area in an attempt to broaden the population sampled. Fecal samples from cattle and chickens were obtained at only
two farms in the Montgomery County study (7); however, the
turnover and import rates of animals at these farms are high (C. Hagedorn, personal communication). The tight clustering of ARPs of
isolates from one location could be advantageous in some types of
studies, i.e., differentiation of septic tank and cattle farm inputs in
a particular tributary watershed.
Water quality managers who need to identify the source(s) of fecal
pollution in a watershed are generally primarily interested in
discriminating between animal and human contamination and secondarily interested in determining the major source(s) of animal contamination. ARA and other bacterial-source-tracking methods, such as ribotyping, are relatively novel, and none achieve perfect discrimination between
different sources, yet it seems reasonable to expect that a useful
technique would classify greater than 50% of isolates correctly when
there are five or more possible source categories. In our experience,
managers in regulatory agencies find 60 to 70% correct classification
rates very useful. When designing a sampling strategy, it should be
noted that the best strategy for identifying human versus nonhuman
sources may vary depending upon whether one is attempting to establish
a broadly representative database that can be used over a broad
geographic range or a more limited database that might be used to
determine the major source of fecal pollution in a discrete area, such
as a specific creek.
Both the fecal streptococcus and fecal coliform databases were able to
identify a dominant human or nonhuman source of pollution, yet after
the repair of the restaurant septic tank, the specific sources
identified by each database were not identical. One possible explanation for this difference is that the two groups of indicator organisms have different survival or inactivation rates (time required
to become nonculturable under the specified isolation conditions) in
natural waters (20). The ARPs may reflect a relatively long-term history of contamination for the more persistent group and a
"snapshot" of the most immediate source(s) of contamination for the
less persistent group. A second possible explanation of such
discrepancies is the fact that feces from different animals characteristically contain different ratios of fecal coliforms and
fecal streptococci (20). Further investigation of these questions will help determine which of the indicator organisms is more
useful for ARA. It is possible that in some situations the use of both
fecal coliform and fecal streptococcus ARPs will be preferable to the
use of a single group.
As patterns of antibiotic use change, so do bacterial patterns of
antibiotic resistance. In the United States, the emergence of
fluoroquinolone-resistant Campylobacter jejuni in chickens is linked to the approval of fluoroquinolone use in poultry in 1995 (21). Withdrawal of antibiotic pressure can result in
decreased prevalence of antibiotic resistance, as was the case when
antibiotic use was terminated in swine herds (14, 15).
Because the selective pressure of antibiotic treatment on the commensal
microflora of animals is an important determinant of the prevalence of
antibiotic resistance in a population (25), the databases
that are developed for discriminant analysis will require periodic updating.
A major expense in this type of analysis lies in building the database.
Currently, it is not known if ARPs of isolates from one geographic
location can be used to predict the source of isolates from another.
Keys to building broadly applicable databases will be the choice of
antibiotics used and the variability of animal husbandry practices in
different regions of the country. A detailed study of the feasibility
of cross application between the two Virginia databases and the Florida
database is planned, which should begin to address the question of how
useful antibiotic resistance patterns from one geographic area are in
predicting the source of fecal contamination in a different area.
 |
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
This work was supported by grants from the Jacksonville
Environmental Protection Board and the Jacksonville, Fla., chapter of
the Association for Women in Science.
 |
FOOTNOTES |
*
Corresponding author. Mailing address: Department of
Biology, University of South Florida, 4202 E. Fowler Ave., Tampa, FL 33620. Phone: (813) 974-1524. Fax: (813) 974-3263. E-mail:
vharwood{at}chuma1.cas.usf.edu.
 |
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