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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, May 2002, p. 2468-2478, Vol. 68, No. 5
0099-2240/02/$04.00+0 DOI: 10.1128/AEM.68.5.2468-2478.2002
Copyright © 2002, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service,1 North Carolina Agricultural Research Service, Department of Food Science, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-7624,2 Departments of Statistics and Mathematics, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-82033
Received 9 July 2001/ Accepted 14 February 2002
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Mechanistic models may be developed from theoretical or experimentally determined data describing the cause or mechanism behind the dynamic changes observed in an experimental system. Several researchers have used dynamic models to investigate the effects of various temperatures on the specific growth rates or lag times of bacterial cultures (3, 4, 9, 29, 30). In all cases, some parameter values in these models were allowed to vary with temperature. Van Impe et al. (29) used temperature-dependent adjustment functions for modifying the parameters for specific growth rate, asymptotic level of (maximum) growth, and lag time with their dynamic model. These functions, suggested by Zwietering et al. (32) for the explicit form of the modified Gompertz equation, were adapted for use with the derivative dynamic model (29, 30). They include the square root model of Ratkowsky et al. (22) for modifying specific growth rate and asymptotic growth parameters with temperature and a hyperbolic function (32) for modifying lag with temperature. The model was validated by studies that compared the observed and predicted growth with Brochothrix thermosphacta or Lactobacillus plantarum for temperature shifts and continuously varying temperatures during batch growth of these organisms in pure culture (30). Baranyi and Roberts (3), adapted an elegant mechanistic differential equation model (1, 2) for monitoring the growth of B. thermosphacta during a time course of changing temperatures. This model used an "adjustment" function that follows Michaelis-Menten-type kinetics to reflect the accumulation of a critical, yet undefined, intracellular component required for cell division. The adjustment function allowed the model to predict growth lag in response to changing environmental conditions. In the temperature-dependent model (3), the parameters for the specific growth rate and the adjustment function were modified by the square root model of Ratkowsky et al. (22) to reflect temperature changes. Validation studies of the temperature-dependent Baranyi model showed very good agreement between the growth of B. thermosphacta in broth culture and the predicted results (3). However, this model relied on cell density (intraspecific competition) to limit cell growth. As a direct result, its predictive ability may be limited when applied to environments in which interspecific competition plays an important role (5).
Breidt and Fleming (6) have developed a model that accurately predicts the competition between Lactococcus lactis and the pathogen Listeria monocytogenes in a vegetable broth fermentation. This model included parameters for the inhibition of cell growth and metabolism due to pH and protonated lactic acid. One important prediction obtained from their competitive growth experiments was that the primary factor limiting the growth of L. monocytogenes in their model system was pH and not the accumulation of protonated lactic acid. This conclusion was supported by independent measurements of the parameters for pH and protonated acid sensitivity for L. monocytogenes. This model did, however, fail to make the mechanistic connection between nutrient acquisition and cell growth. It did not account for glucose consumption, did not predict lag or temperature effects, and relied on forcing functions to control pH dynamics.
Our objective was to develop a predictive methodology that will aid in the understanding of bacteria interacting with changing environmental factors and, ultimately, bacterial competition. We also wanted a model that embodies a more fundamental understanding of the changes that take place during the growth of a batch culture. To meet this goal, a complex mechanistic model could be used. It is well known, however, that increasing the complexity of a model may lead to poorer validation accuracy (i.e., because of a lack of parsimony). Heeding this warning, we suggest that one way to ameliorate the deficiencies in the above modeling efforts is to make a more mechanistic accounting of the cellular "energy state" with a dynamic energy budget model (14), which links nutrient consumption, energy, and growth. Thus, the work presented here is an attempt to meld the aspects of dynamic temperature change and end product inhibition into a dynamic, energy-based model describing lag, exponential, stationary, and death phases, while quantitatively revealing the mechanisms governing these features of the growth curve.
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Fixed-temperature experiments.
Overnight cultures were prepared by growing LA221 in CJ at 30°C. Water-jacketed jars (Wheaton, Millville, N.J.) were filled with 200 ml of fresh CJ and inoculated with 106 CFU ml of bacterial culture-1. Each flask was sealed with a silicone stopper that contained a sterile syringe sample port, through which an 18-gauge, 10-cm needle was passed. The growth medium was kept well mixed by a magnetic stirrer. Compressed nitrogen was humidified by sparging through deionized water, filtered (0.2-µm-pore-size Millex-FG50 filter; Millipore Corp., New Bedford, Mass.), and released into the headspace of the fermentor jars at a rate of 1.3 liters h-1. Temperature during the fermentation was controlled by a circulating water bath (NESlab RTE-211; NESlab, Portsmouth, N.H.). The temperature of the growth medium was monitored directly by sterile thermocouples inserted through the silicone stoppers and recorded by a microcomputer (OM-3000; Omega, Stamford, Conn.). Growth observations at 10, 20, and 30°C included quantification of the number of CFU per milliliter and glucose, malic acid, and lactic acid concentrations. Growth at a particular temperature was monitored until all phases of growth had been observed.
Biological assays.
A sterile disposable syringe (1 ml; Becton Dickinson, Franklin Lakes, N.J.) was used to withdraw a 1-ml sample from the fermentation flask sample port. Cells were removed from 1-ml samples by centrifugation at 13,000 x g for 1.5 min. High-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) analyses of the supernatant quantified total lactic acid, glucose, and malic acid. HPLC was carried out by the single injection procedure of McFeeters (16). The pH of the medium was determined using an electronic pH meter (IQ 200; IQ Scientific Instruments, Inc., San Diego, Calif.). Cell density (number of CFU per milliliter) was determined by the spiral plate count method using an Autoplate 4000 Automated Spiral Plater (Spiral Biotech, Bethesda, Md.) and a Protos Plus Colony Counter (Bioscience International, Rockville, Md.).
Statistics and programming.
All computing was performed on a 300-MHz Ultra Sparc 10 processor (Sun Microsystems, Palo Alto, Calif.). MATLAB (version 5.3) software was used to solve the differential equations described in the Appendix and for all other programming. The equations were solved using the adaptive stiff ordinary differential equation (ODE) solver. The ODE solver often required temperatures and rates of temperature change at times different from when they were actually sampled. This problem was overcome simply by using linear interpolation to estimate the temperature values at the times requested. The derivative of temperature with respect to time was calculated when needed by using a centered finite difference approximation of the data, followed by linear interpolation to the desired time point.
Parameters were estimated using all of the fixed-temperature data at once via a maximum-likelihood method (10). We made no transformations of the data prior to parameter estimation. The data for the cell density were heteroscedastic, with sample variance approximately proportional to the magnitude of the density. A flexible distribution that has this property (constant coefficient of variation) is the gamma distribution. Schaffner (23) gives further evidence why cell count data should be considered to have a gamma distribution. The HPLC data, however, were assumed to have additive error that was normally distributed. We also assumed that the model errors were all independent, which allowed us to combine the likelihoods of all the data by simply including the log likelihoods in the same sum. We assumed that the model parameters and variance components were the same, regardless of temperature. We did, however, allow for experiment-specific variation in initial conditions. This was reasonable since the exact cell density at the time of inoculation was not known, and subsequent plate counts during the experiment provided only limited information about what this value should have been. By this method, our maximum-likelihood procedure estimates for all 14 model parameters, 4 variance components, and 20 initial conditions were calculated.
Since an adaptive ODE solver was used, neither the Jacobian nor the Hessian likelihood function depends smoothly on perturbations in the parameters (11), and traditional nonlinear least-squares algorithms failed. We used differential evolution (25), a genetic algorithm, to achieve approximate parameter estimates, followed by as many Nelder-Mead Simplex iterations as required to obtain convergence.
Validation studies.
Validation of the calibrated model was accomplished by comparing predictions and data from variable environment experiments. In all cases, two or more independent replicates of the fermentations were carried out. In the first scenario, the temperature of the medium was maintained at 30°C for 3.75 h, and then it was dropped to 10°C. This temperature change was accomplished over a period of about 15 min. In order to compare the model's predictions about the impact of the previous energy state on growth, a second scenario was conducted. In this scenario, cells were grown at 30°C for 3.75 h. Then 100 µl of fermented broth was inoculated into 200 ml of fresh CJ also at 30°C. A third scenario involved a reinoculation of cells after growth into fresh medium that coincided with a temperature drop from 30 to 10°C.
Sensitivity analyses.
We calculated sensitivity of a particular parameter as the relative change in the model prediction for a 10% perturbation of that parameter with all other parameters fixed at their estimated values (10). We were interested in determining the sensitivity of cell density predictions. In mathematical terms, the sensitivity of cell density (log10 N) to perturbations in the ith parameter (Pi) was calculated as the centered finite approximation to
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Positive values of this measure indicated that, when a parameter is perturbed upward, the model prediction for N is higher than when the unperturbed parameter is used. Conversely, negative sensitivities indicated that a positive perturbation resulted in a reduction in the predicted value for N. The advantage of this approach was that it could be performed at each point in time over a simulated fermentation. When the resulting sensitivity curve was plotted over time, it was easy to determine the relative importance of the model parameters at each of the different phases of bacterial growth.
We were also interested in the interaction between parameters that affected model predictions. To do this we used a "multiple-parameter sensitivity analysis" (26). From the analysis, we obtained the main effects, interaction terms, and higher-order terms (analogous to a multiway analysis of variance). We performed a multiple-parameter sensitivity analysis on the observed growth rate. The model described in the Appendix tracks both cell growth as well as cell death. Therefore, to determine the observed growth rate a smoothing spline was fit to the cell density data from which the first derivative was calculated. The largest positive value of the first derivative during the exponential growth phase was taken as the observed growth rate. For the analysis of variance, we used a central composite design (13), which allowed us to estimate all main effects and first-order interactions. We limited our analysis of the observed growth rate to the eight parameters determined to be important in the temporal analyses. The resulting central composite design required 273 function evaluations. P values, it should be noted, were meaningless in this context since there was technically no error in simulated data (26).
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TABLE 1. State variables of the modela
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TABLE 2. Model parameters
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FIG. 1. Predictions of the calibrated model at 10°C. Note that the culture was incubated at 30°C prior to inoculation. The duration of lag phase is indicated by the arrow. The symbols (number of CFU/milliliter or millimolar concentration of malic acid), (millimolar concentration of glucose), and (millimolar concentration of lactic acid) represent experimental values, and the curves represent predicted values. Dashed curve = Q.
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FIG. 2. Predictions of the calibrated model at 30°C. The symbols (number of CFU/milliliter or millimolar concentration of malic acid), (millimolar concentration of glucose), and (millimolar concentration of lactic acid) represent experimental values, and the curves represent predicted values. Dashed curve = Q.
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FIG. 3. Variable temperature validation (scenario no. 1). After 3.75 h, the temperature was reduced from 30 to 10°C over a period of about 15 min. Arrow indicates temperature shift. The symbols (number of CFU/milliliter or millimolar concentration of malic acid), (millimolar concentration of glucose), and (millimolar concentration of lactic acid) represent experimental values, and the curves represent predicted values. Dashed curve = Q.
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FIG. 4. Reinoculation validation experiment (scenario no. 2). After 55 h, the cells were reinoculated into fresh medium. The temperature was held at 30°C throughout the entire experiment. The symbols (number of CFU/milliliter or millimolar concentration of malic acid), (millimolar concentration of glucose), and (millimolar concentration of lactic acid) represent experimental values, and the curves represent predicted values. Dashed line = Q.
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FIG. 5. Model predictions for scenario no. 3. Reinoculation into fresh medium at 35 to 75 h coincided with a shift in temperature from 30 to 10°C. The symbols (number of CFU/milliliter or millimolar concentration of malic acid), (millimolar concentration of glucose), and (millimolar concentration of lactic acid) represent experimental values, and the curves represent predicted values. Dashed line = Q.
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,
,
, and kq2.
1 is important only in death phase, where it had an increasingly negative effect. There was a reversal in the signs of all parameter sensitivities near the transition from stationary to death phase (Fig. 6). This reversal occurs to a lesser extent at 20°C (data not shown) and is absent in the analysis at 30°C (Fig. 7). Particularly striking are the curves for parameters
and kq1, which represent growth rate and energy (respectively), and change in sign from the analysis at 10°C to the analysis at 30°C. Positive perturbations in
(energy cost of acid stress) have a relatively larger negative effect at 30°C (Fig. 7) than at the lower temperatures (Fig. 6), and the positive perturbations of kq1 were larger than the other parameters during the exponential and stationary phases at 30°C (Fig. 7).
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FIG. 6. Temporal sensitivity profiles of cell density (log10 [number of CFU/milliliter]) with respect to the model parameters at 10°C (only the 10 most sensitive model parameters shown). LE, ES, and SD are reference points indicating approximate times of transition between lag and exponential, exponential and stationary, and stationary and death phases, respectively.
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FIG. 7. Temporal sensitivity profiles of cell density (log10 [number of CFU/milliliter]) with respect to each of the model parameters at 30°C (only the 10 most sensitive model parameters are shown). ES refers to exponential and stationary phases; SD refers to stationary and death phases.
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and kq1 in Table 4 are the opposite of what they were in Table 3 suggests that growth is limited in a manner at 10°C fundamentally different from that at 30°C. The observed growth rate, irrespective of temperature, was most strongly influenced by the glucose consumption rate (µ1), glucose-to-energy conversion rate (ß), and maximal growth rate (
). The growth rate is least affected by the energetic cost of reproduction (
) and the energy half-saturation constant for glucose consumption (kq2). The energetic cost of temperature adaptation (
) is only important in the 10°C analysis (Table 4), where it tends to manifest a negative effect on growth rate through its negative interactions with µ1, ß, KT1, and kq1. |
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TABLE 3. Multiple-sensitivity (index) analysis results for growth rate at 30°Ca
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TABLE 4. Multiple-sensitivity (index) analysis for growth rate at 10°Ca
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Included in Fig. 1 to 5 are the predicted internal energy profiles (Q) and the per-cell internal energy (q = Q/N) profiles. The model clearly predicted reductions in energy available for growth immediately after a temperature shift or when end product inhibition ensues in the stationary phase. Currently, no experiments have been conducted with L. lactis LA221 to support this, and this is the subject of future work in our laboratory. However, Mercade et al. (17) have shown that the yield of ATP of L. lactis decreased from 11.5 g mol-1 at a pH of 6.6 to 5 g mol-1 at a pH of 4.4, thus demonstrating an energy drain due to acidic conditions. Jetton et al. (12) have shown that starved cells of Methanothrix soehngenii contained relatively high levels of AMP (2.2 nmol/mg of protein) but essentially no ADP or ATP during acetate degradation. Addition of new substrate, however, quickly brought the ATP levels back up to concentrations of about 1.4 nmol/mg of protein. The gram-negative bacterium Pectinatus frisingensis has been shown by Chibib and Tholozan (7) to experience decreases in ATP, ADP, and AMP concentrations during cold shocks (30 to 20°C). The bacteria returned to a preshock metabolic state when returned to 30°C in the presence of glucose. Metge et al. (18) showed that the total adenine nucleotide content for a species of Pseudomonas decreased from 153 x 10-20 mol cell-1 during exponential phase to 56 x 10-20 mol cell-1 during stationary phase.
Interpretation of the temporal sensitivity analyses in Fig. 6 and 7 is straightforward. By conducting the temporal sensitivity analyses at different temperatures, we were able to see how temperature affects the relative importance of each parameter in relation to model predictions. The sensitivity of
(the maximum growth rate of the cells) became negative at low temperatures,
(the parameter that controls the energy cost of cell division) became relatively unimportant at low temperatures, and
(energy cost for transient temperature adjustment) became important only at low temperatures. These results suggest that growth at colder temperatures was limited primarily by the requirements for temperature adaptation, while growth at 30°C was limited primarily by acid stress. These results also suggest that at low temperatures it was more advantageous to divert energy to temperature adaptation. This idea is also supported by the large negative sensitivity of parameter
(energy required for cell division) (at 10°C) seen in Fig. 6, since it is this parameter that controls how much energy is spent on reproduction.
The sign reversal of nearly every parameter sensitivity at the end of the stationary phase in Fig. 6 is striking but entirely reasonable. This characteristic of the sensitivity analysis comes from the fact that the factors that promote strong and rapid growth also promote rapid end product accumulation and precipitate cell death. At low temperatures, this phenomenon was enhanced by the increased energy demand required for temperature adaptation. In general, 8 of the 14 model parameters were important in determining growth during exponential and stationary phases. These were ß, µ1, KT1, and kq1, which have positive sensitivities, and
,
,
, and kq2, which have negative sensitivities. Not surprisingly, these are the parameters that control growth (
, kq1, and
), sugar utilization (ß, µ1, and kq2), and temperature adaptivity (KT1 and
) in the model.
The multiple-sensitivity analysis of these parameters revealed that µ1 and ß were the most important parameters in determining the observed growth rate. The qualitative shift in parameter sensitivity suggests that the observed growth rate was limited in a manner at 10°C fundamentally different from that at 30°C. In particular, these results support the previous suggestion that growth was limited at low temperatures by the demand for temperature adaptation and that, at warmer temperatures, end product accumulation was the primary limiting force. For example, the parameter controlling energy cost for temperature adaptation,
, had virtually no bearing on the model predictions at 30°C.
Previous researchers (4, 5, 9, 29, 30) have developed models to predict growth during continuous changes in temperature. These models use an empirical function, such as Gompertz or Ratkowsky relationships, to describe temperature-induced lag phase. In our model, temperature is an independent variable that controls the predicted metabolic activity of the cell. Using this mechanistic approach, we are able to predict how changes in cell physiology produce a temperature-induced lag phase. While some systematic lack of fit was observed, Fig. 1 to 5 demonstrate the qualitative agreement of predicted and experimental results. Understanding how physiological changes affect growth with varying temperatures may lead to a rational method for selecting biocontrol or starter cultures.
In this paper, we have shown that the energy costs of temperature adaptation can explain lag phase. Our model predicted lag phase, death phase, and maximal growth rates. A quadratic temperature inhibition function was used in our model; however, we may improve the functional form to allow for temperature effects above and below the optimal temperature for growth (Topt). Model components did not vary independently of one another, and all affected and depended on the internal pool of cellular energy (q). It was this dynamic energy budget aspect of our model that allowed growth predictions across a range of continuously varying environmental conditions for the lag, log, and stationary phases of batch culture. Our model was validated using broth fermentations. This work may serve as the basis for modeling more complex fermentation systems. Future research will be aimed at experimentally determining intracellular ATP concentrations during batch growth of LA221.
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![]() | (A1) |
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![]() | (A3) |
![]() | (A4) |
![]() | (A5) |
where
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We acknowledge the technical assistance of Roger L. Thompson in the analysis of the HPLC data and Dora D. Toler for excellent secretarial assistance.
Paper no. FSR01-22 of the Journal Series of the Department of Food Science, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7624. ![]()
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