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Applied and Environmental Microbiology, April 2005, p. 2130-2139, Vol. 71, No. 4
0099-2240/05/$08.00+0 doi:10.1128/AEM.71.4.2130-2139.2005
Copyright © 2005, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Bailrigg, Lancaster,1 Department of Surgery, St. George's Hospital Medical School, London,2 School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, Wales, United Kingdom3
Received 16 July 2004/ Accepted 15 November 2004
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M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis can live in the guts of animals for years without necessarily causing clinical disease (61). Infection is widespread in domestic livestock in western Europe and North America (18, 37, 49). Wildlife reservoirs may contribute to its environmental persistence (3, 4, 27) and cycles of reinfection (22, 23). Infected animals, particularly those with the more common pluribacillary form of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis disease, excrete huge numbers of these bacilli in their feces (29, 61). M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis is a robust mycobacterium which can survive for months or even for years in the environment (32, 61), since no upper limit on its environmental persistence has yet been established. To date, very little is known about the ecology, trafficking, and fate of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in the environment (29).
As with other potentially zoonotic pathogens (28, 29), rain falling onto pastures contaminated with M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis would be expected to wash these organisms into surface waters and rivers (21, 71). There is an unquantified risk that M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis maybe transmitted to humans where such waters are sourced for domestic supply (46). Where a heavily contaminated fast-flowing river runs through a population center, there is also an unquantified risk of human exposure via aerosols (73). Conditions such as these exist in South Wales in the United Kingdom, where a densely populated coastal plain lies beneath the upland pastures of the Brecon hills to the north, which are grazed by cattle and sheep in which M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis infection is endemic (12).
The Taff is a major spate river which runs off the Brecon hills in a southeasterly direction and through the city of Cardiff beside the sea. Epidemiological research carried out in Cardiff in the mid-1970s demonstrated a highly significant increase in the incidence of Crohn's disease in 11 of the local electoral city wards (52, 53). Of these 11 high-incidence wards, 8 directly bordered the river Taff, and the 3 that did not were immediately adjacent to the northeast (52, 53). It has been proposed that this is the direction in which aerosols containing M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis may be carried by the prevailing southwesterly wind (35). The present paper describes the first step in examining this hypothesis experimentally by testing for the presence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in the catchment area of the Taff and by monitoring the presence of the organism twice weekly in Taff river water from November 2002 over a period of one year. We have also studied for how long M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis may persist in a model freshwater system.
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FIG. 1. Location of the study region in South Wales, United Kingdom. The enlargement shows the catchment area (enclosed by the dashed line) of the river Taff, which at the time of the study contained 30,435 beef and dairy cattle and 571,429 sheep, of which 304,443 were breeding ewes (see text). The river Taff itself is a spate river which runs down from the Brecon hills and through the city of Cardiff before entering the Bristol Channel. The prevailing winds are from the Atlantic to the southwest. 1, Upper Neuadd reservoir; 2, Pontsticill reservoir; 3, Taff Fechan River; 4, Brecons reservoir; 5, Llwyn-on reservoir; 6, Taff Faw River; 7, river Taff. MT, town of Merthyr Tydfil; C, city of Cardiff. *, sampling sites.
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DNA extraction.
One hundred milliliters of TFF retentate (equivalent to 10 liters of raw river water) was initially filtered through 0.2-µm-pore-size membrane filters (Pall-Gelman, Portsmouth, United Kingdom). Retained material was resuspended in 3 ml of 1 M Tris-HCl (pH 7.4) by vortexing and scraping with sterile plastic loops. The cleaned membranes were discarded, and the remaining sample was aliquoted into 1.5-ml Eppendorf tubes and concentrated by centrifugation at 13,000 x g for 10 min. The supernatant was removed, and the sample was pooled in a final volume of 100 to 500 µl. DNA was then extracted by the procedure described in the Ultraclean Soil DNA kit (Mo-Bio, Solana Beach, Calif.) with one modification. In the manufacturer's protocol samples are disrupted with a bead-beating tube. In the present modification, the bead-beating method was replaced by the use of Lysing Matrix B Ribolyser tubes (QBiogene, Nottingham, United Kingdom). Samples were then disrupted in a FastPrep Ribolyser (QBiogene) at a setting of 6.5 m s1 for 45 s. The remainder of the manufacturer's procedure was unchanged.
IS900 PCR and amplicon sequencing.
PCR was carried out in 0.2-ml thin-walled PCR tubes (ABgene, Epsom, United Kingdom) with the FailSafe PCR system (Epicentre, Madison, Wis.) in a Px2 thermal cycler (ThermoLifeSciences, Basingstoke, United Kingdom). Genomic DNA isolated from M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis 989 was used as a positive control throughout, and molecular biology-grade water (Sigma, Poole, United Kingdom) was used as a negative control. A nested PCR strategy designated IS900[L/AV] (8) was used to amplify IS900. Reagents were defrosted and maintained on ice throughout. Reaction mixtures (50 µl) were prepared so that each received the following: 5 µl of template DNA, 1 µl of each primer (final concentration, 0.2 µM), 25 µl of 2x FailSafe reaction premix (premix G in the first round and premix C in the nested reaction), 0.5 µl of PCR enzyme mix, and 17.5 µl of water. For first-round amplification primers L1 (5'-CTT TCT TGA AGG GTG TTC GG-3') and L2 (5'-ACG TGA CCT CGC CTC CAT-3') were used (8). The nested reaction employed primers AV1 (5'-ATG TGG TTG CTG TGT TGG ATG G-3')and AV2 (5'-CCG CCG CAA TCA ACT CCA G-3'), using 5 µl of the first-round amplification product as the template. In both the first and the nested rounds of amplification, three negative control tubes were incorporated, making six in all after the full amplification. Cycling conditions were the same for both rounds of the process and comprised 1 cycle of template denaturation at 95°C for 4 min (at the start of this stage the machine was paused and tubes were added directly from ice, ensuring a manual hot-start process); 30 cycles of 95°C for 1 min, 58°C for 45 s, and 72°C for 1 min; and 1 cycle of 72°C for 5 min. Reactions were held at 4°C until products could be confirmed to be the correct size (298 bp) by examination under UV after electrophoresis in 1 to 1.5% (wt/vol) agarose gels stained with ethidium bromide. DNA sequencing was carried out twice on both strands of the 298-bp AV1/AV2-derived amplicons by Qiagen (Crawley, United Kingdom). To assess whether PCR-negative results were caused by sample inhibition, two reaction master solutions were prepared. These differed only in that one contained sample to be tested in addition to a spike of 5 µl of positive control DNA.
Culture of sediments from the Taff catchment area and of Taff river water.
Samples of sediment from the Taff catchment area and centrifugal pellets from river water were decontaminated by incubation with 2% NALC (NaOH-N-acetyl-L-cysteine) for 20 min and then neutralized with phosphate-buffered saline (PBS) and centrifuged at 3,000 x g for 20 min. The pellet was resuspended in 0.7% hexadecylpyridinium chloride in half-strength brain heart infusion broth and incubated at 37°C overnight. The mixture was then filtered by centrifugation with 10-µm-pore-size VectaSpin centrifuge tubes (Whatman, Maidstone, United Kingdom), and the filtrate was concentrated by further centrifugation at 3,000 x g for 20 min. The pellet was resuspended in 1 ml of sterile water containing 100 µg of vancomycin and nalidixic acid ml1 and 50 µg of amphotericin B ml1 and incubated for 48 to 72 h. The sample was then inoculated on Herrold's egg yolk medium (HEYM) supplemented with mycobactin J at 2 µg ml1 and nalidixic acid, vancomycin, and amphotericin B, all at a final concentration of 50 µg ml1. Plates were sealed and incubated at 37°C for up to 16 months before subculture. Successful isolates of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis were characterized by IS900 PCR with amplicon sequencing and typed by using the mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit (MIRU) PCR-based system as previously described (9).
Analysis of suspended solids in river water.
The amount of suspended solids in Taff river water was determined as follows. Glass fiber filters (47-mm-diameter; Whatman, Cambridge, United Kingdom) were pretreated at 550°C for 24 h. Each filter was allowed to cool and then weighed to four decimal places and stored in a desiccator at room temperature prior to use. A subsample of 50 ml of retentate (equivalent of 5 liters of river water) was filtered under vacuum. The filters were then dried for 24 h at 125°C and placed in a desiccator to cool to room temperature. They were then reweighed, and the weight of suspended solids was expressed as milligrams per liter of native Taff river water.
Environmental data.
Rainfall, height, and flow data for the river Taff were provided by the Environment Agency (Wales). Data on the precise boundaries and stocking densities for the river Taff catchment area were provided by Geographical Information Systems Services, Welsh Assembly, Cardiff, Wales, United Kingdom. The topographical relief map of Cardiff flanking the Taff River as it flows through the city was derived by Memory Map with mapping data sourced, with permission, from the Ordnance Survey.
Statistical methods and analyses.
Standard analysis of variance (16) was used to determine whether positive tests for IS900 on Taff river water were related to significantly different river height, river flow, and suspended solids. These were log transformed to homogenize the residual variance. The mean rainfall values on days of IS900-positive river samples and on each of the preceding 7 days were compared with the mean rainfall values on days of IS900-negative samples by analysis of variance. Rainfall was square-root transformed to assist the homogeneity of the residual variance. Linear discriminant analysis was used to determine whether river characteristics and rainfall could be combined to form an index with which to predict the presence of IS900 (51). A randomization method was devised to test for clustering of IS900-positive days. For the test statistic, we used the number of days on which one positive result followed a positive result on the preceding sampling occasion. If there was no clustering at all, we would expect positive days to be randomly placed in the series according to their observed frequency. If complete clustering was present, we would expect all positive days to appear together. The method estimated the probability of obtaining the observed number of days from the random assumption. If the probability was small, randomness would be discounted.
Survival of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in water.
M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis strain 989 (kindly provided by D. M. Collins, AgResearch, Upper Hutt, New Zealand) was grown in mycobacterial growth indicator tube (MGIT) liquid medium (Becton Dickinson, Oxford, United Kingdom) supplemented with (final concentrations) 10% (vol/vol) oleic acid-albumin-dextrose-catalase, PANTA (40 U of polymixin B ml1, 4 µg of amphotericin B ml1, 16 µg of nalidixic acid ml1, 4 µg of trimethoprim ml1, 4 µg of azolacin ml1), and mycobactin J (2 µg ml1) (Allied Monitor, Fayette, Mo.). Water samples were collected from the north basin of Windermere, Cumbria, United Kingdom (United Kingdom Ordnance Survey grid reference NY382008). Four sterile-release microcosms were prepared by adding 330 ml of filtered (0.2 µm-pore-size membranes; Pall-Gelman) lake water to 1-liter wide-mouthed polypropylene bottles prior to autoclaving at 121°C. One milliliter of cells from a 4-week-old culture of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis 989 in liquid MGIT medium was concentrated by centrifugation at 10,000 x g for 5 min and washed three times in sterile filtered PBS (sfPBS). Washed cells were resuspended in 500 µl of fresh sfPBS. One hundred microliters of this suspension was added to each of three microcosms (designated A, B and C). The fourth microcosm (D) received sfPBS only in order to control for contamination throughout the experiment. At each sampling interval, 2 ml was aseptically removed from microcosms A to D. From this, 500 µl was used directly for DNA extraction and IS900 PCR. Cultivability of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in liquid medium was assessed by adding 500 µl (from the original 2-ml aliquot) to an MGIT supplemented as described above and incubating for up to 12 months. The remaining 1 ml was used in part for culture on solid medium. Serial dilutions were prepared with sterile lake water as the diluent, and 100 µl was spread in triplicate onto Middlebrook 7H11 agar (Becton Dickinson) supplemented with mycobactin J (2 µg ml1), 10% (vol/vol) oleic acid-albumin-dextrose-catalase, 0.6% (wt/vol) glucose, 0.42% (wt/vol) pyruvic acid, penicillin G (15 µg ml1), and chloramphenicol (25 µg ml1). The spread plates were double wrapped in Parafilm (Sigma) and incubated at 37°C in the dark for 4 months. Counts of CFU milliliter1 were determined at several intervals before final numbers were recorded at 4 months, after which no new colonies emerged.
Quantitative real-time PCR of IS900.
Real-time PCR amplification of IS900 was also used to quantify the numbers of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis cells persisting in the model lake water systems. This was carried out with the ABI Prism 7000 sequence detection system (Applied Biosystems, Warrington, United Kingdom) with previously described primers F2 (5'-AAT GAC GGT TAC GGA GGT GGT-3') and R2 (5'-GCA GTA ATG GTC GGC CTT ACC-3') and internal TaqMan probe P2 (5'-TCC ACG CCC GCC CAG ACA GG-3') (42). The TaqMan probe was labeled at the 5' end with the fluorescent reporter dye 5-carboxyfluoroescein and at the 3' end with the quencher dye N',N',N',N'-teratmethyl-6-carboxyrhodamine. Primer and probe concentrations were optimized according to protocols specific to the TaqMan Universal PCR Master Mix. Amplification reactions were carried out in individual optical PCR tubes (Applied Biosystems), and the mixtures (50 µl) contained 25 µl of 2x TaqMan Universal Master Mix (AmpliTaq Gold DNA polymerase, AmpErase uracyl-N-glycosylase, deoxynucleoside triphosphates with dUTP, and passive reference and optimized buffer components), 5 µl of each primer (F2 at 900 nM and R2 at 300 nM), 5 µl of TaqMan probe P2 (250 nM), 5 µl of DNA, and 5 µl of water. No-template controls received water instead of DNA. The following cycling profile was used: 1 cycle of 50°C for 2 min (for optimal uracyl-N-glycosylase activity), 1 cycle of 95°C for 10 min (for activation of the AmpliTaq Gold enzyme), and 40 cycles of 95°C for 15 s and 60°C for 1 min. The standard positive control consisted of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis strain 989 genomic DNA quantified spectrophotometrically at 260 nm. The number of genomes and copies of IS900 in a given volume of this DNA was calculated based on an M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis genome size of 4.83 Mbp (GenBank accession no. NC002944) and an average 16 copies of IS900 per genome. Standards for absolute quantification were then prepared by serial dilution. All standard, unknown, and no-template control reactions were run in triplicate. Quantification of the number of IS900 targets in unknown samples was determined by measuring the threshold cycle value (which equates to the cycle at which a statistically significant increase in the
Rn is first detected). Average values were then converted to cells milliliter1 by dividing by 16 (7).
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From the highest part of the Taff catchment area sampled, sediment from the Upper Neuadd reservoir drained 2 months prior to sampling was IS900 PCR negative. A Jenkin core of sediment from the younger Brecons reservoir could not be obtained because the bottom was still composed of a fibrous matt from previous pasture. The sample of sediment taken instead from the west bank of Brecons reservoir was also IS900 PCR negative, as was the biofilm sample from a weir at ST081939 on the river Taff itself. Jenkin sediment cores from the lower reservoirs of Pontsticill and Llwyn-on, representing the east and west valleys of the catchment area, were both IS900 PCR positive. Pontsticill was IS900 positive in the upper 5 cm (top) of the core, and Llwyn-on was positive in the middle section (5 to 10 cm) of the core. The DNA sequences of all IS900 PCR amplicons showed 100% identity with the sequence in the database.
Taff river water.
Figure 2 shows the results of IS900 PCR tests on river water for the 96 days of sampling throughout the year November 2001 to November 2002, together with the corresponding data on river height and river flow (suspended solids not presented). Thirty-one of the 96 samples (32.3%) of Taff river water were IS900 PCR positive. Sequence data obtained for 19 of the 31 positive samples showed 100% identity with IS900 (accession number X16293) in 3 samples and a single-nucleotide polymorphism occurring at nucleotide 214 of the amplicon in 16 samples. This was A to G in 14 samples and a consistently irresolvable A/G in 2 samples. Eleven IS900-negative samples were inhibitory to PCR.
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FIG. 2. Relationship between presence or absence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis and flow and river height of the river Taff (November 2001 to November 2002). Data were obtained by using the Hydrolog data management system, version 2.61 (Hydro-Logic Ltd., Bromyard, United Kingdom), from Pontypridd logging station (grid reference ST07938973). Plotted data were recorded at 9:00 a.m. each day. The solid line represents the river height, while the dotted line represents the flow rate. Sample points are shown on the river height graph as grey diamonds, and samples that were PCR positive for M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis are shown as black diamonds.
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FIG. 3. Culture of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis from decontaminated samples of Taff river water and catchment area sediment. Growth was first seen after 8 to 11 months of incubation on Herrold's egg yolk medium. (A and B) Typical crumbly colonies. (C, D, and E) Early colonies forming below the surface of the solid HEYM. All colonies were confirmed as M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis by IS900 PCR with amplicon sequencing and by MIRU typing.
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FIG. 4. Products obtained by amplification at MIRU locus 1 (upper panel), MIRU locus 2 (middle panel), and MIRU locus 4 (lower panel) of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis isolates from reservoir sediment and Taff river water. Lanes: 1, 100-bp ladder; 2, isolate from sediment from the Upper Neuadd reservoir; 3 to 10, isolates from Taff river water; 11, contemporary isolate of a bovine strain of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis from a cow with Johne's disease in the study region; 12, M. avium subsp. avium ATCC25291; 13, Mycobacterium sp. strain 2333 from Sweden, containing a single copy of an IS900-related element (25); 14, M. chelonae; 15, M. scrofulaceum; 16 to 18, three Mycobacterium strains with IS900-related elements from Australia (20); 19, negative control; 20, 100-bp ladder.
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Higher values for river height and flow were associated with positive IS900 tests at a significance level of 5%. A relationship between higher values for suspended solids and positive IS900 tests was not significant at 5% but came close at 8%. The presence of IS900 in river water from the Taff was clearly associated with higher rainfall on the sample day and on each of the six preceding days (the significance levels were 1% on preceding days 0, 3, 5, and 6 and 5% on preceding days 1, 2, and 4; more than 6 days preceding rainfall had an insignificant influence). From the range of rainfall values, a number of rainfall thresholds were selected. The numbers of sample dates with IS900 present or absent when rainfall was above or below each threshold on each preceding day were tabulated. No threshold with adequate predictive capability was found for any rainfall day. Similarly, the discriminant analyses of river characteristics and rainfall were unable to identify any index with the ability to predict IS900-positive days.
Visual inspection suggested some clustering of IS900-positive tests throughout the year of sampling, and on 14 occasions one positive sample day followed another. The randomization method was used to test for clustering. The series was randomized 5,000 times, and the number of occasions (n) on which one positive test followed another was counted for each randomization. A frequency histogram of the values for n was drawn up. The median value of n was 10 occasions, and the mean value was 10.3. In 345 simulations n was 14 or more, giving a significance level of 6.9% for a hypothesis test of random occurrence. Hence, the test was significant at the 10% level but not at the 5% level, and evidence for clustering was not conclusive.
Survival of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in lake water.
No recent research on the survival of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in freshwater was available (45, 48, 61), so the potential of a recently isolated M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis strain to survive long-term in freshwater, a strategic requirement if transport from the catchment area to a human host occurs, was assessed. The survival of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis 989 was examined in sterile lake water microcosms (A, B, and C) and an uninoculated control (D) over an 841-day period (Fig. 5). PCR was performed on raw water, before and after sterilization, and in both cases the water was IS900 negative. Neither sample was inhibitory to PCR. For the purpose of this survival experiment it was hoped that the initial inoculum would be approximately 103 to 104 M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis organisms ml1, as we could not envisage a scenario in a nonsediment freshwater environmental context where concentrations would be likely to exceed this value. However, initial inoculum densities were difficult to enumerate by established methods such as direct cell counts or counts of CFU milliliter1 (59) due to clumping of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis and the length of time it takes for CFU to appear on solid media. For these reasons, estimates of initial numbers were obtained retrospectively by using long-term culture and real-time PCR. Culture showed that day 0 counts of CFU milliliter1 were 1.9 x 103, 9.12 x 102, and 7.24 x 102 for microcosms A, B, and C, respectively. No growth was observed for microcosm D. Real-time PCR (carried out on microcosm C only) estimated the day 0 count to be 2.6 x 104 cells ml1. The survival characteristics from day 0 to 841 are shown in Fig. 5. Culturable numbers in microcosms A, B, and C decreased from the initial levels to around 101 cells ml1 by day 160, after which numbers remained stable at this level to day 407. The next two sampling points occurred at days 632 and 841, where no growth was observed on solid medium for any of the microcosms. However, on each of these days samples were IS900 PCR positive, and growth in MGITs was positive on day 632 for microcosms A and C (Fig. 5B). To date, no growth in MGITs has been observed for day 841 samples. However, real-time PCR detected 8,755 cells ml1 on day 841 (data not shown), thereby demonstrating that cell densities did not fall below 103 ml1 for the duration of the experiment. It should be noted that counts of CFU milliliter1 cannot be expected to follow normal assumptions (i.e., that one CFU arises from one cell), due to the clumping of cells. It is just as likely that one CFU arose from a clump of hundreds of cells. This can be supported by the fact that colonies arose at different rates and were of different sizes (data not shown), therefore representing an underestimate of true cell numbers.
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FIG. 5. Persistence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in sterile lake water microcosms as determined by plating, real-time PCR, and corresponding growth in MGIT tubes and PCR. (A) Persistence (expressed as CFU milliliter1) of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in sterile lake water microcosms A ( ), B ( ), and C () and estimated count by real-time PCR in microcosm C ( ) over 400 days. Results for microcosm D (saline inoculated control) are not shown. Error bars indicate standard deviations. (B) Extended study of persistence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in sterile freshwater microcosms A to D by using MGIT culture and PCR over 841 days (a further 434 days after the last sample was taken for culture). + and , presence and absence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis culture or PCR signal, respectively; ND, not determined.
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The central question addressed in this initial study was whether M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis is being carried down the river Taff. This was examined by twice-weekly sampling of the river from the same site just to the north of the city of Cardiff, over the course of a full year. M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis was identified by IS900 PCR and amplicon sequencing in 1,00l TFF concentrates of Taff river water on 31 (32.3%) of the 96 days sampled. Since the 11 days, usually when the river was high, on which the processed sample proved to be inhibitory to PCR were recorded as negative, this detection rate may be an underestimate. In 12 of the 31 PCR-positive samples M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis was also isolated in culture, but, as so often is the case with these difficult organisms, colonies appeared only after incubation of the HEYM plates for about a year. The identity of the isolates was further verified by MIRU typing and IS900 PCR. All of the isolates typed were bovine strains, which are more easily cultured than ovine strains. However, the amplicon sequences from the all of the cultured M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis isolates shared 100% identity with the reference IS900 sequence in the database, whereas such identity was found in only three of the amplicon sequences obtained directly from the river water DNA extract. All of the remaining 16 direct amplicon sequences contained a single-nucleotide polymorphism at position 214, which could not be resolved in 2 sequences and was A to G in the remaining 14. This IS900 polymorphism has not been described before and would be consistent with the substantial environmental presence of a previously unrecognized strain of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis which cannot be isolated in culture. A similar situation has been described for ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (33, 34, 39) and crenarchaea (65), for example, where the ecologically significant organisms are not represented by those obtained from the environment by culture.
An accessory question posed in the present study was how long M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis might be able to survive in environmental waters. A concept that these robust and versatile pathogens, having limited access to nutrients (especially iron), would die would not be soundly based given general probability of persistence in the environment (41, 45, 48, 74) and the potential for enhanced survival and possible amplification within environmental protozoa (2, 37, 60, 68). The outcome of our studies over nearly 2 1/2 years with the model lake water systems showed that M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis bovine strain 989 was culturable on solid medium for at least 407 days, was culturable in liquid MGIT medium for at least 632 days, and thereafter remained particulate and persisting in relative abundance in the lake water microcosms to the end of the experiment at 841 days. The survival and persistence of an unculturable and previously unrecognized environmental strain of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis is its natural environmental aquatic habitat are of course unknown, but it seems unlikely that they would be less.
Statistical analyses were applied to examine the relationship between the presence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in the Taff and the catchment area-influenced parameters of river height, river flow, suspended solids, and rainfall. There was a significant association (5 to 1% significance) with rainfall up to 6 days before the sample date, as well as with river height and flow. However, combining the data from these variables in a discriminant analysis did not identify a threshold value for rainfall, river height, or river flow which had an adequate predictive capability for the presence of M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis in the river. An association with the amount of suspended solids in the river water just fell short of significance. The test for clustering (7% significance) was also just below significance, at the 5% level. Thus, although a period of rain will flush M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis into the river (43), these organisms may enter from diffuse environmental sources, as well as from point sources such as wastewater treatment outfalls, at a time independent of low or high rainfall (43). Conversely, rivers are nonhomogenous units (72), and failure to detect M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis organisms during high-rainfall periods may be due to patchiness of their distribution within the river system (24, 72). Future studies using quantitative methods are required to determine the abundance of these pathogens in river water.
At the highest point of the Taff catchment area that we sampled, the superficial sediments taken from the Upper Neuadd and Brecons reservoirs were both negative by IS900 PCR, without evidence of inhibition of the reaction. However, after long incubation, M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis was cultured from two Upper Neuadd sediments, with the different results most likely being due to patchy distribution and chance sampling. The result is consistent with the entry of these pathogens into the catchment area at the highest level. This is supported by the positive tests on the Pontsticill and Llwyn-on reservoirs, which are adjacent just lower down in the catchment area. Deposition rates for sediments at the bottoms of the Pontsticill and Llwyn-on reservoirs are not available, but assuming that they may be similar to those found in Windermere (56, 64), the depths in the sediment cores at which M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis was identified would represent 30 to 50 years of deposition. This is well within the 109 years since the organism was first described as causing chronic inflammatory disease of the intestine in a cow in Germany (40).
The incidence of Crohn's disease in Cardiff over the period from 1976 to 1980 was 5.0/105/year (63). The epidemiological study carried out by Mayberry and Hitchens in the late 1970s (52, 53) examined the incidence and geographical distribution of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in 25 electoral wards in the city of Cardiff. They found a statistically highly significant (P < 0.001) increase in the incidence of Crohn's disease, but not of ulcerative colitis, in 11 of the city wards. Although eight of these high-incidence wards bordered the river Taff, their apparent geographical relationship with the river was not statistically significant. Figure 6B shows an enhanced relief map of the city of Cardiff indicating the direction of the prevailing southwesterly winds. The distribution of the wards with a high incidence of Crohn's disease throughout the city is shown in Fig. 6A. The topography of the approaches to the southwest aspect of the river is characterized by hills to the north and south. The valley in between, open to the prevailing winds, is directly opposite the gap in the center of the high-incidence wards on the windward bank of the river. On the leeward side, three additional high-incidence wards lie immediately adjacent to those bordering the river to the northeast. This is the direction in which aerosols containing M. avium subsp. paratuberculosis would be carried on the prevailing southwesterly winds (35).
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FIG. 6. Relationship between disease clusters and prevailing wind in Cardiff, Wales, United Kingdom. (A) Distribution of the 11 electoral wards in the city of Cardiff that were shown previously (52, 53) to have a highly significant (P < 0.001) increase in the incidence of Crohn's disease. (B) Relief map of Cardiff, with the course of the river Taff through the city indicated in blue. The wards with the high incidence of Crohn's disease are seen to lie along the Taff, with the exception of a gap in the center stretch of the windward right bank of the river (facing downstream). This gap directly faces a valley between hills to the north and south, which is open to the prevailing southwesterly winds. (Map reproduced with permission from the Ordnance Survey, Crown copyright NC/2004/29668.)
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We thank Doug Millar for the IS900 PCR tests on river water carried out during our initial work on the river Taff in 1994. We thank Barry Neish for sampling the river Taff throughout the study period and Welsh Water for allowing access to their reservoirs. We are also very grateful to Clair Horton (Welsh Assembly Government) for the animal data and to the Environment Agency (Wales) for the wind, river, and rainfall data.
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